{"help": "https://canwin-datahub.ad.umanitoba.ca/data/fr/api/3/action/help_show?name=package_show", "success": true, "result": {"Identifier": "10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0453.1", "PublicationYear": "2025", "Publisher": "Journal of Climate", "ResourceType": "journal article", "Rights": "Other (Open)", "Version": "1.0", "author": null, "author_email": null, "citation": "", "creator_user_id": "cbbec6b1-882b-4227-8cea-38c799ee1dea", "descriptionType": "Abstract", "id": "1e2a3a1a-6cc6-4847-af82-aebc668a9be0", "isopen": false, "language": "", "licenceType": "Open", "license_id": null, "license_title": null, "maintainer": null, "maintainer_email": null, "metadata_created": "2025-09-02T19:47:19.192593", "metadata_modified": "2025-09-23T20:50:51.996753", "name": "key-drivers-of-current-and-future-nh-cap-trends", "notes": "Extratropical cyclones are responsible for most precipitation falling north of 408N, especially in winter.Greater moisture availability in a warmer world is expected to boost the intensity of cyclone-associated precipitation(CAP), but how changes in cyclone frequency and intensity impact this trend is uncertain. Here, we use two atmosphericreanalyses and 18 climate models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) to up-date projections of future CAP. Models project that nearly the entire Northern Hemisphere exhibits increasing winterCAP with continued warming [by at least 5% (18C)21 global warming throughout, and over 30% in the Arctic and easternAsia]. Summer CAP increases over the Pacific Ocean (2%\u201310%) and Arctic (up to 20%) but decreases over midlatitudecontinents and the Atlantic Ocean (exceeding 20% in places). These outcomes result from the relative balance betweentwo overarching and often opposing trends: Extratropical cyclones (and therefore CAP events) become less frequent(except in the Arctic), but the average event produces more precipitation in the future (especially by more intense precipi-tation rates). Historically, CAP intensity trends are driven more by moisture availability than cyclone intensity (i.e., stron-ger winds); projections indicate future CAP intensity enhancement will be driven almost entirely by moisture availability.The strongest CAP trends historically are increases on the west side of the midlatitude oceanic storm tracks, but projec-tions indicate that the Arctic Ocean will exhibit the strongest positive future trends because of exceptional increases inmoisture availability combined with little change to storm frequency or intensity.", "num_resources": 1, "num_tags": 5, "organization": {"id": "9e21f6b6-d13f-4ba2-a379-fd962f507071", "name": "ceos", "title": "Centre for Earth Observation Science", "type": "organization", "description": "The Centre for Earth Observation Science (CEOS) was established in 1994 with a mandate to research, preserve and communicate knowledge of Earth system processes using the technologies of Earth Observation Science. Research is multidisciplinary and collaborative seeking to understand the complex interrelationships between elements of Earth systems, and how these systems will likely respond to climate change. Although researchers have worked in many regions, the Arctic marine system has always been a unifying focus of activity.\r\n\r\nIn 2012, CEOS, along with the Greenland Climate Research Centre (GCRC, Nuuk, Greenland) and the Arctic Research Centre (ARC, Aarhus, Denmark) established the Arctic Science Partnership, thereby integrating academic and research initiatives.\r\n\r\nAreas of existing research activity are divided among key themes:\r\n\r\nArctic Anthropology/Paleoclimatology: LiDAR scanning and digital site preservation, archaeo-geophysics, permafrost degredation, lithic morphometrics, zooarchaeology, proxy studies, paleodistribution of sea ice, landscape learning, Paleo-Eskimo culture, Thule Inuit culture, ethnographic analogy, traditional knowledge, climate change and northern heritage resource management.\r\n\r\nAtmospheric Studies/Meteorology: Boundary layer, precipitation, clouds, storms and extreme weather, circulation, eddy correlations, polar vortex, climate, teleconnections, geophysical fluid dynamics, flux and energy budgets, ocean-sea ice-atmosphere interface, radiative transfer, ice albedo feedback, cloud radiative forcing, pCO2. \r\n\r\nBiogeochemistry: Organic carbon, greenhouse gases, bubbles, Ikaite, carbonate chemistry, CO2 fluxes, mercury and other trace metals, minerals, hydrocarbons, brine processes, otolith microchemistry, sediments, biomarkers. \r\n\r\nContaminants: Mercury, trace metals, PAHs, source, transport, transformation, pathways, bioaccumulations, marine ecosystems, marine chemistry. \r\nEarth Observation Science: Active and passive microwave, LiDAR, EM induction, spatial-temporal analysis, forward and inverse scattering models, complex permittivity, ocean colour, ocean surface roughness, NIR, TIR, satellite telemetry, GPS. Ice-Associated Biology: Biophysical processes, primary production; ice algae, ice microbiology, bio-optics, under-ice phytoplankton. \r\n\r\nInland Lakes and Waters: Hydrologic connectivity, watershed systems, sediment transport, nutrient transport, contaminants, landscape processes, remote sensing, freshwater-marine coupling. Marine Mammals: Seals, whales, habitat, conservation, satellite telemetry, distribution, population studies, prey behaviour, bioacoustics.\r\n\r\nModelling: Simulation of sea ice and oceanic regional processes, Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean (NEMO), ice-ocean modelling and interactions, hind cast simulations and projections for sea ice state and ocean variables based on CMIP5 scenarios and MIROC5 forcing, validation.\r\n\r\nOceanography: Circulation, temperature, in-flow and out-flow shelves, water dynamics, microturbulence, Beaufort Gyre, eddy correlations.\r\n\r\nSea Ice Geophysics:Thermodynamic and dynamic processes, extreme ice features and hazards, snow, ridges, polynyas.\r\n\r\nTraditional and Local Knowledge: Indigenous cultures, Inuit, Inuvialuit, oral history, toponomy, mobility and settlement, hunting, food security, sea ice use, community-based research, community-based monitoring, two ways of knowing.", "image_url": "2021-11-13-003953.952874UMLogoHORZ.jpg", "created": "2017-07-21T13:15:49.935872", "is_organization": true, "approval_status": "approved", "state": "active"}, "owner_org": "9e21f6b6-d13f-4ba2-a379-fd962f507071", "private": false, "related_datasets": [], "related_programs": ["4d4cbb98-ee92-4bb0-8765-31c68b4e96e0"], "rightsIdentifier": "other-open", "rightsIdentifierScheme": "SPDX", "rightsSchemeURI": "https://www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses", "schemeURI": "", "state": "active", "subjectScheme": "", "theme": ["d5c57e39-a747-4085-ba9c-3cfb44f9d5ef"], "title": "A decomposition of the key drivers of current and future Northern Hemisphere cyclone-associated precipitation trends", "type": "publication", "url": null, "version": null, "Author": [{"affiliation": "Centre for Earth Observation Science - University of Manitoba", "creatorName": "Crawford, Alex", "email": "alex.crawford@umanitoba.ca", "nameIdentifier": "", "nameType": "Personal"}, {"affiliation": "Centre for Earth Observation Science - University of Manitoba", "creatorName": "Loeb, Nicole", "email": "", "nameIdentifier": "", "nameType": "Personal"}, {"affiliation": "", "creatorName": "McCrystall, Michelle", "email": "", "nameIdentifier": "", "nameType": "Personal"}], "awards": [{"awardTitle": "", "awardURI": "", "funderIdentifier": "", "funderIdentifierType": "", "funderName": "", "funderSchemeURI": "", "grantNumber": ""}], "relatedResources": [{"RelatedIdentifier": "", "ResourceTypeGeneral": "", "name": "", "relatedIdentifierType": "", "relationType": "", "resourceType": "Online Resource", "seriesName": ""}], "resources": [{"cache_last_updated": null, "cache_url": null, "created": "2025-09-02T19:49:35.036336", "datastore_active": false, "datastore_contains_all_records_of_source_file": false, "description": "PDF of the following publication: \r\nCrawford, A., M. McCrystall, and N. Loeb, 2025: A Decomposition of the Key Drivers of Current and Future Northern Hemisphere Cyclone-Associated Precipitation Trends. J. 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