{"help": "https://canwin-datahub.ad.umanitoba.ca/data/api/3/action/help_show?name=package_show", "success": true, "result": {"Identifier": "10.1175/jcli-d-23-0082.1", "PublicationYear": "2023", "Publisher": "Journal of Climate", "ResourceType": "journal article", "Rights": "", "Version": "1.0", "author": null, "author_email": null, "citation": "", "creator_user_id": "cbbec6b1-882b-4227-8cea-38c799ee1dea", "descriptionType": "Abstract", "id": "d44acc5d-ecab-4eab-bd8a-a4bd5669d212", "isopen": false, "language": "", "licenceType": "", "license_id": null, "license_title": null, "maintainer": null, "maintainer_email": null, "metadata_created": "2024-03-22T20:06:39.014904", "metadata_modified": "2024-03-22T20:10:22.613266", "name": "the-response-of-extratropical-cyclone-propagation-in-the-northern-hemisphere-to-global-warming", "notes": "Extratropical cyclones (ETCs) are a common source of natural hazards, from heavy rain to high winds, and the direction and speed of ETC propagation in\ufb02uence where impacts occur and for how long. Eighteen models from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) are used to examine the response of Northern Hemisphere ETC propagation to global warming. In winter, simulations show that ETCs become slower over North America and the Arctic but faster over the Paci\ufb01c Ocean and part of Europe. In summer, storm propagation becomes slightly slower throughout much of the midlatitudes (308\u2013608N). Trends in both seasons relate closely to the impact of global warming on upper-level (250 hPa) winds and the 850\u2013250-hPa thickness gradient. Wherever local thickness gradients weaken in the future, ETCs travel more slowly; conversely, wherever they strengthen, ETCs travel more quickly. In contrast to past work, we \ufb01nd that winter storm propagation becomes more zonal over the Paci\ufb01c and Atlantic Oceans, which may link to decreased atmospheric blocking and less-sinuous \ufb02ow at 500 hPa. The importance of model projections of the 850\u2013250-hPa thickness gradient for meridionality of ETC propagation remains uncertain for these regions. However, for North America, models that project stronger thickness gradients also project less-sinuous \ufb02ow and more-zonal ETC propagation. Overall, this work highlights strong regional variation in how the speed and direction of ETC propagation, and the upper-level circulation patterns that govern them, respond to continued warming.", "num_resources": 1, "num_tags": 5, "organization": {"id": "9e21f6b6-d13f-4ba2-a379-fd962f507071", "name": "ceos", "title": "Centre for Earth Observation Science", "type": "organization", "description": "The Centre for Earth Observation Science (CEOS) was established in 1994 with a mandate to research, preserve and communicate knowledge of Earth system processes using the technologies of Earth Observation Science. Research is multidisciplinary and collaborative seeking to understand the complex interrelationships between elements of Earth systems, and how these systems will likely respond to climate change. Although researchers have worked in many regions, the Arctic marine system has always been a unifying focus of activity.\r\n\r\nIn 2012, CEOS, along with the Greenland Climate Research Centre (GCRC, Nuuk, Greenland) and the Arctic Research Centre (ARC, Aarhus, Denmark) established the Arctic Science Partnership, thereby integrating academic and research initiatives.\r\n\r\nAreas of existing research activity are divided among key themes:\r\n\r\nArctic Anthropology/Paleoclimatology: LiDAR scanning and digital site preservation, archaeo-geophysics, permafrost degredation, lithic morphometrics, zooarchaeology, proxy studies, paleodistribution of sea ice, landscape learning, Paleo-Eskimo culture, Thule Inuit culture, ethnographic analogy, traditional knowledge, climate change and northern heritage resource management.\r\n\r\nAtmospheric Studies/Meteorology: Boundary layer, precipitation, clouds, storms and extreme weather, circulation, eddy correlations, polar vortex, climate, teleconnections, geophysical fluid dynamics, flux and energy budgets, ocean-sea ice-atmosphere interface, radiative transfer, ice albedo feedback, cloud radiative forcing, pCO2. \r\n\r\nBiogeochemistry: Organic carbon, greenhouse gases, bubbles, Ikaite, carbonate chemistry, CO2 fluxes, mercury and other trace metals, minerals, hydrocarbons, brine processes, otolith microchemistry, sediments, biomarkers. \r\n\r\nContaminants: Mercury, trace metals, PAHs, source, transport, transformation, pathways, bioaccumulations, marine ecosystems, marine chemistry. \r\nEarth Observation Science: Active and passive microwave, LiDAR, EM induction, spatial-temporal analysis, forward and inverse scattering models, complex permittivity, ocean colour, ocean surface roughness, NIR, TIR, satellite telemetry, GPS. 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Marine Mammals: Seals, whales, habitat, conservation, satellite telemetry, distribution, population studies, prey behaviour, bioacoustics.\r\n\r\nModelling: Simulation of sea ice and oceanic regional processes, Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean (NEMO), ice-ocean modelling and interactions, hind cast simulations and projections for sea ice state and ocean variables based on CMIP5 scenarios and MIROC5 forcing, validation.\r\n\r\nOceanography: Circulation, temperature, in-flow and out-flow shelves, water dynamics, microturbulence, Beaufort Gyre, eddy correlations.\r\n\r\nSea Ice Geophysics:Thermodynamic and dynamic processes, extreme ice features and hazards, snow, ridges, polynyas.\r\n\r\nTraditional and Local Knowledge: Indigenous cultures, Inuit, Inuvialuit, oral history, toponomy, mobility and settlement, hunting, food security, sea ice use, community-based research, community-based monitoring, two ways of knowing.", "image_url": "2021-11-13-003953.952874UMLogoHORZ.jpg", "created": "2017-07-21T13:15:49.935872", "is_organization": true, "approval_status": "approved", "state": "active"}, "owner_org": "9e21f6b6-d13f-4ba2-a379-fd962f507071", "private": false, "related_datasets": ["4be4d01a-a14b-483f-a1a6-6ead0974fa57"], "related_programs": ["4d4cbb98-ee92-4bb0-8765-31c68b4e96e0"], "rightsIdentifierScheme": "SPDX", "rightsSchemeURI": "https://spdx.org/licenses", "schemeURI": "", "state": "active", "subjectScheme": "", "theme": ["d5c57e39-a747-4085-ba9c-3cfb44f9d5ef"], "title": "The Response of extratropical cyclone propagation in the Northern Hemisphere to global warming", "type": "publication", "url": null, "version": null, "Author": [{"affiliation": "", "creatorName": "Crawford, Alex", "email": "", "nameIdentifier": "", "nameType": "Personal"}, {"affiliation": "", "creatorName": "McCrystall, Michelle", "email": "", "nameIdentifier": "", "nameType": "Personal"}, {"affiliation": "", "creatorName": "Lukovich, Jennifer", "email": "", "nameIdentifier": "", "nameType": "Personal"}, {"affiliation": "", "creatorName": "Stroeve, Julienne", "email": "", "nameIdentifier": "", "nameType": "Personal"}], "awards": [{"awardTitle": "", "awardURI": "", "funderIdentifier": "", "funderIdentifierType": "", "funderName": "", "funderSchemeURI": "", "grantNumber": ""}], "relatedResources": [{"RelatedIdentifier": "", "ResourceTypeGeneral": "", "name": "", "relatedIdentifierType": "", "relationType": "", "resourceType": "Online Resource", "seriesName": ""}], "resources": [{"cache_last_updated": null, "cache_url": null, "created": "2024-03-22T20:08:31.034833", "datastore_active": false, "datastore_contains_all_records_of_source_file": false, "description": "Extratropical storms are common sources of natural hazards like heavy rain and high winds. In our analysis of projections from 18 climate models, we \ufb01nd that winter storms tend to move more slowly over midlatitude North America and the Arctic as the world warms but move faster over the North Paci\ufb01c Ocean and part of Europe. Slight slowing of summer storms is projected throughout much of the midlatitudes. When storms move slower, their attendant hazards (like heavy precipitation) last longer for the areas they impact. Further, Atlantic winter storms travel more west to east instead of southwest to northeast, so they impact Iceland less often and the British Isles more often. Changes become more dramatic with each additional degree of global warming.", "format": "PDF", "hash": "", "id": "c376c79f-6893-414b-9c6a-1698ad264cb4", "last_modified": "2024-03-22T20:08:30.974994", "metadata_modified": "2024-03-22T20:08:31.493153", "mimetype": "application/pdf", "mimetype_inner": null, "name": "The Response of extratropical cyclone propagation in the Northern Hemisphere to global warming", "package_id": "d44acc5d-ecab-4eab-bd8a-a4bd5669d212", "position": 0, "resCategory": "documents", "resource_type": null, "size": 7985758, "state": "active", "url": "https://canwin-datahub.ad.umanitoba.ca/data/dataset/d44acc5d-ecab-4eab-bd8a-a4bd5669d212/resource/c376c79f-6893-414b-9c6a-1698ad264cb4/download/crawford-the-response-of-extratropical-cyclone-propagation-in-the-northern-hemisphere-to-global-.pdf", "url_type": "upload"}], "tags": [{"display_name": "Atmosphere", "id": "c2ac8f2e-03ff-4162-ad8f-e6f9a08949ed", "name": "Atmosphere", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "Climate model", "id": "1ac4da79-2c26-441b-96eb-1453032e37a9", "name": "Climate model", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "Cyclone", "id": "973ac25c-1a4f-4b79-98b7-1b31db298247", "name": "Cyclone", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "Northern Hemisphere", "id": "b6d86207-1bbf-4948-836c-0a0bc6385182", "name": "Northern Hemisphere", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}, {"display_name": "Storms", "id": "9b5127d5-5e24-481a-8ca5-77bb650727dc", "name": "Storms", "state": "active", "vocabulary_id": null}], "groups": [], "relationships_as_subject": [], "relationships_as_object": []}}